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Archive for S@R

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We develop models for simulating economic and financial decisions under uncertainty. Taking advantage of recognized financial and economic theory, we customize simulation models to fit specific industries and needs. Our business idea is to provide decisions support which enables better economic decisions.

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WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.

2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Credit Risk

A number of other statistical methods have also been used to predict future company failure and credit risk.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting

Concessions are an important source of revenue for all airports. An airport simulation model should therefore be able to give a good forecast of revenue from different types of concessions.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Perception of Risk

Is there less interest in risk and strategy in the Vest than in the East ?

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Where do you go from risk mapping?

You can’t control what you can’t measure

2009 © | S@R | 3 comments | Continued
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Public Works Projects

The solution to all this is to establish a proper simulation model for every large project and do the Monte Carlo simulation necessary to establish the total cost distribution, and then calculate the risks involved.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Selecting Strategy

When there is no uncertainty the maximum return criterion can be used to rank strategies. With uncertainty we have to look for the strategy that maximizes the firms expected utility.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Two letters

If you should reconsider, we will be happy to meet with you to explain the nature of our work. To us nothing is better than a demanding customer.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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When in doubt, develop the situation

Planning for an uncertain future is a hard task, but preparing for it by adapting to the uncertainties and risk uncovered is well within our abilities.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Top Ten Concerns of CFO’s – May 2009

A poll of more than 1200 senior finance executives by CFO Europe together with Tilburg and Duke University ranks the ten top external and internal concerns.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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The fallacies of Scenario analysis

Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation – with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value – but do they give correct answers?

2009 © | S@R | 3 comments | Continued
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Valuation as a strategic tool

Valuation is something usually done only when selling or buying a company. However it is a versatile tool in assessing issues as risk and strategies both in operations and finance.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued