Monte Carlo

Simulation of balance sheet risk

Simulation of balance sheet risk

This entry is part 6 of 6 in the series Balance simulation

Which hedging strategy the company is to choose demands knowledge about what covenant is the most at risk. How likely is it that the company will face a breech?

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Big Issues Needs Big Tools

Big Issues Needs Big Tools

This entry is part 3 of 3 in the series What We Do

We believe you know your business best and will in your capacity implement the necessary resources, competence, tools and methods for running a successful and efficient organization.

Still issues related to uncertainty …….

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Stochastic Balance Simulation

Stochastic Balance Simulation

This entry is part 1 of 6 in the series Balance simulation

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition deterministic models will miss the important dimension of uncertainty – that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they produce.

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Public Works Projects

Public Works Projects

This entry is part 2 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

In public works and large scale construction or engineering projects – where uncertainty mostly concerns cost, a simplified scenario analysis is often used …

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The fallacies of Scenario analysis

The fallacies of Scenario analysis

This entry is part 1 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation – with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value – but do they give correct answers?

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Airport Simulation

Airport Simulation

This entry is part 1 of 4 in the series Airports

The basic determinant of an airport’s economics is the passenger forecast. It is the basis for estimation of aircraft movements, investment in terminal buildings, traffic charges, tax free sales etc.

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