S@R

S@R develops models for support of decision making under uncertainty.
Taking advantage of recognized financial and economic theory, we customize simulation models to fit specific industries, situations and needs.

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You only live once

You only live once

This entry is part 4 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Let’s say that you are considering new investment opportunities for your company and that the sales department has guesstimated that the market for one of your products will most likely grow by ….

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The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin

The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin

This entry is part 1 of 2 in the series The Bio-ethanol crush margin

In the following we will illustrate some of the risks the bioethanol producer is facing using corn as feedstock. However, these risks will persist regardless of the feedstock and production process chosen.

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Moddeling World 2011

Moddeling World 2011

S&R participated as a keynote speaker at the Modelling World conference held in London June 16. The theme was forecasting and decision making inn an uncertain world

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The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit

The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit

Edge, which every year invites scientists, philosophers, writers, thinkers and artists to opine on a major question of the moment, asked this year: “What scientific concept would improve everybody’s cognitive toolkit?”

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Plans based on average assumptions ……

Plans based on average assumptions ……

This entry is part 3 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists.

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Planning under Uncertainty

Planning under Uncertainty

This entry is part 3 of 6 in the series Balance simulation

Let’s say that the board have sketched a future desired value of the company’s equit, and that you are left to find out if it is possible to get there and if so – the road to take …

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