Scenario analysis

Planning under Uncertainty

Planning under Uncertainty

This entry is part 3 of 6 in the series Balance simulation

Let’s say that the board have sketched a future desired value of the company’s equit, and that you are left to find out if it is possible to get there and if so – the road to take …

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Public Works Projects

Public Works Projects

This entry is part 2 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

In public works and large scale construction or engineering projects – where uncertainty mostly concerns cost, a simplified scenario analysis is often used …

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The fallacies of Scenario analysis

The fallacies of Scenario analysis

This entry is part 1 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation – with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value – but do they give correct answers?

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