Triangular distribution

Project Management under Uncertainty

Project Management under Uncertainty

The objectives of the project scheduling are to determine the earliest start and finish of each task in the project.

The aim is to be able to complete the project as early as possible and to calculate the likelihood that the project will be completed within a certain time frame.

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Inventory management – Stochastic supply

Inventory management – Stochastic supply

This entry is part 4 of 4 in the series Predictive Analytics

The introduction of uncertain supply has shown that profit can still be maximized however the profit will be reduced by increased costs both in lost sales and in excess inventory. But most important, profit variability will increase raising issues of possible other strategies.

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Plans based on average assumptions ……

Plans based on average assumptions ……

This entry is part 3 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists.

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Corporate Risk Analysis

Corporate Risk Analysis

This entry is part 2 of 6 in the series Balance simulation

Strategy @Risk has developed a radical and new approach to the way risk is assessed and measured when considering current and future investment.

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Uncertainty – lack of information

Uncertainty – lack of information

This entry is part 3 of 6 in the series Monte Carlo Simulation

Every item in a budget or a profit and loss account represents in reality a probability distribution.

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