Tag: "Uncertainty"
The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit
Edge, which every year invites scientists, philosophers, writers, thinkers and artists to opine on a major question of the moment …
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Plans based on average assumptions ……
Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists.
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Planning under Uncertainty
Let’s say that the board have sketched a future desired state (value of equity) of the company and that you are left to find if it is possible to get there and if so – the road to take.
Uncertainty modeling
We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important uncertainty dimension that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they bring forth.
Big Issues Needs Big Tools
We believe you know your business best and will in your capacity implement the necessary resources, competence, tools and methods for running a successful and efficient organization.
Still issues related to uncertainty …….
The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax
The uncertainty about the future yearly Pax is quite high. With this as the backcloth for airport planning the stochastic nature of Pax forecasts has to be taken into account when investment decisions are to be made.
WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation
Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.
