Investments

You only live once

You only live once

This entry is part 4 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Let’s say that you are considering new investment opportunities for your company and that the sales department has guesstimated that the market for one of your products will most likely grow by ….

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Uncertainty modeling

Uncertainty modeling

This entry is part 2 of 3 in the series What We Do

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important uncertainty dimension that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they bring forth.

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Investment analysis

Investment analysis

An important part of the investment analysis is cost. Especially in complex and demanding projects, there is significant risk related to investing.

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Real options

Real options

In real life both for investment decisions and in valuation of companies there are managerial flexibility in the sense that at future points of time there is flexibility in choosing among alternatives.

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