Normal distribution

Plans based on average assumptions ……

Plans based on average assumptions ……

This entry is part 3 of 4 in the series The fallacies of scenario analysis

Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists.

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Uncertainty – lack of information

Uncertainty – lack of information

This entry is part 3 of 6 in the series Monte Carlo Simulation

Every item in a budget or a profit and loss account represents in reality a probability distribution.

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