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Working Capital and the Balance Sheet

Working Capital and the Balance Sheet

The conservation-of-value principle says that it doesn’t matter how you slice the financial pie, only improving cash flows will create [...]

Uncertainty modeling

Uncertainty modeling

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important [...]

Big Issues Needs Big Tools

Big Issues Needs Big Tools

We believe you know your business best and will in your capacity implement the necessary resources, competence, tools and methods [...]

Working Capital Strategy

Working Capital Strategy

The annual "REL/CFO Working Capital Survey" made its debut in 1997. The magazine identifies working capital management as one of [...]

Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models

Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models

In our world ‘the best possible analysis’ means that we have a model ‘good enough’ to describe the business under [...]

Stochastic Balance Simulation

Stochastic Balance Simulation

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition deterministic models will miss the [...]

The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax

The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax

The uncertainty about the future yearly Pax is quite high. With this as the backcloth for airport planning the stochastic [...]

The Case of Enterprise Risk Management

The Case of Enterprise Risk Management

Traditionally, when estimating costs, project value, equity value or budgeting, one number is generated – a single point estimate. [...]

A short presentation of S@R

A short presentation of S@R

Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations. They are mostly used for budgeting, but in some [...]

The Value of Information

The Value of Information

Enterprise risk management (ERM) only has value to those who know that the future is uncertain. Businesses have three key [...]

WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is [...]

Credit Risk

Credit Risk

A number of statistical methods have been used to predict future company failure and credit risk ... [...]

Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting

Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting

Concessions are an important source of revenue for all airports. An airport simulation model should therefore be able to give [...]

Perception of Risk

Perception of Risk

Google Trends and Google Insights for Search gives us the opportunity to gain information on a subject’s popularity. A paper [...]

Where do you go from risk mapping?

Where do you go from risk mapping?

You can't control what you can't measure [...]

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