Category: Macro risk

Uncertainty modeling

Uncertainty modeling

| 24/11/2010

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important uncertainty dimension that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they bring forth.

View Post
Stochastic Balance Simulation

Stochastic Balance Simulation

| 24/05/2010

We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition deterministic models will miss the important dimension of uncertainty – that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they produce.

View Post
A short presentation of S@R

A short presentation of S@R

| 03/04/2010

Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations – but…

View Post
WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

| 08/02/2010

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.

View Post