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About us: #1

What we do

Strategy @ Risk Ltd. develops models for simulating economic and financial decisions under uncertainty. It is a commercial continuation of the ValueSim project.
Taking advantage of recognized financial and economic theory, we customize simulation models to fit specific industries and needs.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #2

How we work

An initial meeting allows us to begin to understand each other and for us to gain an insight into a client’s business, ideas, ambitions and direction through an open but totally confidential exchange. Following one or possibly two further meetings and subject to client approval we prepare and submit a fully costed proposal of work, with time lines and key deliverables made clear.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #3

How to take advantage of Strategy@Risks services

The purpose of the modelling is to as thoroughly as possible describe the company’s present economic and financial situation, and its state throughout the forecast period.

The reports produced from the Strategy@Risk starts from a complete set of information collected from the internal accounts, financial accounts, or from a company specific model.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #4

Who we are

Strategy@Risk is operated by partners with long experience as CFO, CEO and board members in a range of businesses. As former university employees we can draw on academia when a project demands state of the art knowledge in a field.

Strategy@Risk takes advantage of a program language developed and used for financial risk simulation. We have used the program language for over 25years, and developed a series of simulation models for industry, banks and financial institutions.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #5

Projects we have done

Large projects has been performed in Finance, Banking, Pulp & Paper, Airport Operations, Brewery, Aquaculture, Mining & Quarrying, Car part and Rail coach production etc. – all for multinational companies.

Consultancy is a delicate process, and trust is the most important asset to successfully completing a project. S@R customers consider discretion to be important. Hence, we have decided to only publish relevant contents in anonymous form and often collected from different projects.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #6

Understanding risk, creating value

We specialize in the positive development of reputations resulting from apposite strategic decision making.

We accomplish this through understanding, assessing, managing and financial modelling of corporate risk; ensuring that the best strategic decisions are made.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

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About us: #7

Contact details

Strategy @ Risk Ltd.

Phone +47 90775433

Cand. oecon Paal Fredrik Olafsen

Cand. oecon Tore Olafsen

Signed and encrypted email can be sent by downloading the public key from PGP’s global server.

S@R | 2008 © | Continued

  • About Strategy @Risk Ltd.
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Articles

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WACC and Infrastructure Regulation

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.

2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Credit Risk

A number of other statistical methods have also been used to predict future company failure and credit risk.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting

Concessions are an important source of revenue for all airports. An airport simulation model should therefore be able to give a good forecast of revenue from different types of concessions.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Perception of Risk

Is there less interest in risk and strategy in the Vest than in the East ?

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Where do you go from risk mapping?

You can’t control what you can’t measure

2009 © | S@R | 3 comments | More
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Public Works Projects

The solution to all this is to establish a proper simulation model for every large project and do the Monte Carlo simulation necessary to establish the total cost distribution, and then calculate the risks involved.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Selecting Strategy

When there is no uncertainty the maximum return criterion can be used to rank strategies. With uncertainty we have to look for the strategy that maximizes the firms expected utility.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Two letters

If you should reconsider, we will be happy to meet with you to explain the nature of our work. To us nothing is better than a demanding customer.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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When in doubt, develop the situation

Planning for an uncertain future is a hard task, but preparing for it by adapting to the uncertainties and risk uncovered is well within our abilities.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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Top Ten Concerns of CFO’s – May 2009

A poll of more than 1200 senior finance executives by CFO Europe together with Tilburg and Duke University ranks the ten top external and internal concerns.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More
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The fallacies of Scenario analysis

Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation – with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value – but do they give correct answers?

2009 © | S@R | 3 comments | More
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Valuation as a strategic tool

Valuation is something usually done only when selling or buying a company. However it is a versatile tool in assessing issues as risk and strategies both in operations and finance.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | More