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Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling

Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling

We have thus shown through Monte-Carlo simulations, that the benefits of pooling will increase with the number of locations and [...]

Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you?

Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you?

Good inventory management is essential to the successful operation for most organizations both because of the amount of money the [...]

Budgeting Revisited

Budgeting Revisited

Normally we would expect both the budget and the actual EBITDA to fall somewhere in the region of the expected [...]

Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty

Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty

There are a large number of methods used for forecasting ranging from judgmental thru expert systems and time series [...]

“How can you be better than us understand our business risk?”

“How can you be better than us understand our business risk?”

This is a question we often hear and the simple answer is that we don’t! But by using our methods [...]

Be prepared for a bumpy ride

Be prepared for a bumpy ride

Imagine you’re nicely settled down in your airline seat on a transatlantic flight – comfort-able, with a great feeling. Then [...]

M&A: When two plus two is five or three or …

M&A: When two plus two is five or three or …

Mergers & Acquisitions is a way for companies to expand rapidly and much faster than organic growth ... [...]

Introduction to Simulation Models

Introduction to Simulation Models

Simulation models sets out to mimic real life company operations. [...]

Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios

Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios

We are here looking for hedge models and hedge ratio estimations techniques that are “good enough” and that can fit [...]

You only live once

You only live once

Let’s say that you are considering new investment opportunities for your company and that the sales department has guesstimated that [...]

The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin

The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin

In the following we will illustrate some of the risks the bioethanol producer is facing using corn as feedstock. [...]

Moddeling World 2011

Moddeling World 2011

S&R participated as a keynote speaker at the Modelling World conference held in London June 16. The theme was forecasting [...]

The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit

The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit

Edge, which every year invites scientists, philosophers, writers, thinkers and artists to opine on a major question of the moment, [...]

Plans based on average assumptions ……

Plans based on average assumptions ……

Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists. [...]

Planning under Uncertainty

Planning under Uncertainty

Let’s say that the board have sketched a future desired value of the company's equit, and that you are left [...]

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