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Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling

We have thus shown through Monte-Carlo simulations, that the benefits of pooling will increase with the number of locations and [...]

Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you?

Good inventory management is essential to the successful operation for most organizations both because of the amount of money the [...]

Budgeting Revisited

Normally we would expect both the budget and the actual EBITDA to fall somewhere in the region of the expected [...]

Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty

There are a large number of methods used for forecasting ranging from judgmental thru expert systems and time series [...]

“How can you be better than us understand our business risk?”

This is a question we often hear and the simple answer is that we don’t! But by using our methods [...]

Be prepared for a bumpy ride

Imagine you’re nicely settled down in your airline seat on a transatlantic flight – comfort-able, with a great feeling. Then [...]

M&A: When two plus two is five or three or …

Mergers & Acquisitions is a way for companies to expand rapidly and much faster than organic growth ... [...]

Introduction to Simulation Models

Simulation models sets out to mimic real life company operations. [...]

Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios

We are here looking for hedge models and hedge ratio estimations techniques that are “good enough” and that can fit [...]

You only live once

Let’s say that you are considering new investment opportunities for your company and that the sales department has guesstimated that [...]

The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin

In the following we will illustrate some of the risks the bioethanol producer is facing using corn as feedstock. [...]

Moddeling World 2011

S&R participated as a keynote speaker at the Modelling World conference held in London June 16. The theme was forecasting [...]

The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit

Edge, which every year invites scientists, philosophers, writers, thinkers and artists to opine on a major question of the moment, [...]

Plans based on average assumptions ……

Don’t worry about the average, worry about how large the variations are, how frequent they occur and why they exists. [...]

Planning under Uncertainty

Let’s say that the board have sketched a future desired value of the company's equit, and that you are left [...]