Strategy @ Risk » Uncertainty

The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax

S@R — Thu, 22 Apr 2010 21:13:19 +0000

The uncertainty about the future yearly Pax is quite high. With this as the backcloth for airport planning the stochastic nature of Pax forecasts has to be taken into account when investment decisions are to be made.

WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

S@R — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 16:18:44 +0000

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.

Glossary: Statistics

Webadmin — Tue, 24 Feb 2009 17:35:26 +0000

Certain or Uncertain

You may know the values your variables will take in the time frame of your model — they are certain, or what statisticians call “deterministic”. Conversely, you may not know the values they will take —…

Budgeting

S@R — Sun, 22 Feb 2009 22:47:24 +0000

Budgeting involves personal judgments about future values of large number of variables like; sales, prices, wages, down- time, error rates, exchange rates etc. – variables that describes the nature of the business.

Risk and Monte Carlo simulation

S@R — Thu, 21 Feb 2008 23:11:53 +0000

Risk, when does it occurs? Whenever the outcome of a situation is not 0 or 1 you have uncertainty or risk.