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	<title>Strategy @ Risk &#187; Simulation modeling</title>
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		<item>
		<title>Uncertainty modeling</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/uncertainty-modeling/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/uncertainty-modeling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2010 21:05:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[About us]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=2149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important uncertainty dimension that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they bring forth.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Big Issues Needs Big Tools</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/big-issues-needs-big-tools/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/big-issues-needs-big-tools/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2010 14:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[About us]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contingency planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=2132</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We believe you know your business best and will in your capacity implement the necessary resources, competence, tools and methods for running a successful and efficient organization.

Still issues related to uncertainty .......]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Stochastic Balance Simulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/05/24/balance-simulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/05/24/balance-simulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 20:02:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DFA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dynamic Financial Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IFRS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ledger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trial balance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong.  In addition deterministic models will miss the important dimension of uncertainty - that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they produce.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A short presentation of S@R</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Apr 2010 15:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations - but...]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Airport Simulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 19:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Operations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airport modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ATM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EBITDA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elasticities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Traffic simulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=730</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The basic determinant of an airport’s economics is the passenger forecast. It is the basis for estimation of aircraft movements, investment in terminal buildings, traffic charges, tax free sales etc. ]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Budgeting</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/22/budgeting/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/22/budgeting/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2009 22:47:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Budgeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contingency planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Improving Forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subjective probabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=669</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Budgeting involves personal judgments about future values of large number of variables like; sales, prices, wages, down- time, error rates, exchange rates etc. – variables that describes the nature of the business.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/22/budgeting/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Fish farming</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/21/fish-farming/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/21/fish-farming/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 20:52:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aquaculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biomass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Feed conversion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fish farming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Growth rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Optimal temperature]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=559</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When we in 2002 were asked to look into the risk of Cod fish farming, we had to start with the basics; how do cod feed and grow at different locations and what is the mortality at the same locations.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/21/fish-farming/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Corporate Risk Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 20:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Probability distributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skewed distributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triangular distribution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=269</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Strategy @Risk has developed a radical and new approach to the way risk is assessed and measured when considering current and future investment.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The advantages of simulation modelling</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-advantages-of-simulation-modelling/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-advantages-of-simulation-modelling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 15:05:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=60</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Businesses need the ability to assess what its future economic performance will be. Most organisations do this using a deterministic model, a model which does not consider the uncertainty inherent in all the inputs to the model.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-advantages-of-simulation-modelling/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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