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	<title>Strategy @ Risk &#187; Risk</title>
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	<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
	<description>Understanding risk, creating value</description>
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  <link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
  <url>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/s-r-3.ico</url>
  <title>Strategy @ Risk</title>
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		<item>
		<title>Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/08/02/solving-uncertainty-in-simulation-models/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/08/02/solving-uncertainty-in-simulation-models/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Aug 2010 10:13:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[information incompleteness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowledge incompleteness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[parametric uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Problem solving]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[procedural uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Residual uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strong substantive uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[structural uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[substantive uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weak substantive uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1756</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Uncertainty in your firm's operations is most likely complex and will need systematic treatment through simulation modeling - by thinking outside the box.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Case of Enterprise Risk Management</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Apr 2010 09:39:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budgeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COSO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S@R]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1637</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Traditionally, when estimating costs, project value, equity value or budgeting, one number is generated – a single point estimate.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A short presentation of S@R</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Apr 2010 15:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations - but...]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Perception of Risk</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/11/02/perception-of-risk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/11/02/perception-of-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:27:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Search Volume Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1424</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is there less interest in risk and strategy in the Vest than in the East ?]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Valuation as a strategic tool</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/04/24/valuation-as-a-strategic-tool/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/04/24/valuation-as-a-strategic-tool/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 10:17:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation services]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1009</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Valuation is something usually done only when selling or buying a company. However it is a versatile tool in assessing issues as risk and strategies both in operations and finance.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Corporate Risk Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 20:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triangular distribution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=269</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Strategy @Risk has developed a radical and new approach to the way risk is assessed and measured when considering current and future investment.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Challenge</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-challenge/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-challenge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 18:12:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Value]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=79</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Whenever you take a decision where you can loose or gain something, value is at risk. Most decision makers want a situation where they maximize the value, and if everything goes wrong have a minimum of regret.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/the-challenge/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Uncertainty &#8211; lack of information</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/uncertainty-lack-of-information/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/uncertainty-lack-of-information/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 18:09:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Normal distribution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Probability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skewed distribution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triangular distribution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=76</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every item in a budget or a profit and loss account represents in principal a probability distribution. In this framework all items whether from the profit and loss account or from the balance sheet will have individual probability distributions.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/uncertainty-lack-of-information/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Risk &#8211; Exposure to Gain and Loss</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/risk-exposure-to-gain-and-loss/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/risk-exposure-to-gain-and-loss/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 18:06:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Probability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randomness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=74</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is when the decision involves consequences for the decision maker we faces a situation of risk. A traditional way of understanding risk is to calculate how much a certain event varies over time.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/risk-exposure-to-gain-and-loss/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Decision &#8211; Criteria for choosing</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/decision-criteria-for-choosing/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/decision-criteria-for-choosing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 18:04:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=69</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The risk is best expressed by using a graph illustrating the probability curve. The slope tells us about the uncertainty involved, the steeper the curve the less uncertainty involved.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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