<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Strategy @ Risk &#187; Monte Carlo</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/tag/monte-carlo/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
	<description>Understanding risk, creating value</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 20:02:43 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
<image>
  <link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
  <url>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/images/favicon.ico</url>
  <title>Strategy @ Risk</title>
</image>
		<item>
		<title>Big Issues Needs Big Tools</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/big-issues-needs-big-tools/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/big-issues-needs-big-tools/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2010 14:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[About us]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contingency planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=2132</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We believe you know your business best and will in your capacity implement the necessary resources, competence, tools and methods for running a successful and efficient organization.

Still issues related to uncertainty .......]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/big-issues-needs-big-tools/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Stochastic Balance Simulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/05/24/balance-simulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/05/24/balance-simulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 May 2010 20:02:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DFA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dynamic Financial Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IFRS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ledger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trial balance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong.  In addition deterministic models will miss the important dimension of uncertainty - that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they produce.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/05/24/balance-simulation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Public Works Projects</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2009 06:57:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public works projects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scenario analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy consultants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The solution to all this is to establish a proper simulation model for every large project and do the Monte Carlo simulation necessary to establish the total cost distribution, and then calculate the risks involved.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The fallacies of Scenario analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/05/04/the-fallacies-of-scenario-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/05/04/the-fallacies-of-scenario-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2009 12:50:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scenario analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1034</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation - with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value - but do they give correct answers? ]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/05/04/the-fallacies-of-scenario-analysis/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Airport Simulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 19:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Operations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airport modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ATM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EBITDA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elasticities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Traffic simulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=730</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The basic determinant of an airport’s economics is the passenger forecast. It is the basis for estimation of aircraft movements, investment in terminal buildings, traffic charges, tax free sales etc. ]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/24/airport-simulation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Corporate Risk Analysis</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 20:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Probability distributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skewed distributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triangular distribution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=269</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Strategy @Risk has developed a radical and new approach to the way risk is assessed and measured when considering current and future investment.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/03/corporate-risk-analysis/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The weighted average cost of capital</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/08/the-weighted-average-cost-of-capital/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/08/the-weighted-average-cost-of-capital/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 21:00:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Capital cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WACC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=184</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The weighted cost of capital (WACC) and the return on invested capital (ROIC) are the most important elements in company valuation, and the basis for most strategy and performance evaluation methods.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/08/the-weighted-average-cost-of-capital/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Decision &#8211; Criteria for choosing</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/decision-criteria-for-choosing/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/decision-criteria-for-choosing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 18:04:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=69</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The risk is best expressed by using a graph illustrating the probability curve. The slope tells us about the uncertainty involved, the steeper the curve the less uncertainty involved.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/09/01/decision-criteria-for-choosing/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Risk and Monte Carlo simulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/02/22/risk-and-monte-carlo-simulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/02/22/risk-and-monte-carlo-simulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Feb 2008 23:11:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randomness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=6</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Risk, when does it occurs? Whenever the outcome of a situation is not 0 or 1 you have uncertainty or risk.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2008/02/22/risk-and-monte-carlo-simulation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

