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	<title>Strategy @ Risk &#187; Decision</title>
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	<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
	<description>Understanding risk, creating value</description>
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  <title>Strategy @ Risk</title>
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		<item>
		<title>Uncertainty modeling</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/uncertainty-modeling/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/11/24/uncertainty-modeling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2010 21:05:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[About us]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=2149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition will deterministic models miss the important uncertainty dimension that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they bring forth.]]></description>
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		<title>When in doubt, develop the situation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/01/when-in-doubt-develop-the-situation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/01/when-in-doubt-develop-the-situation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 21:43:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial strategies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1088</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Planning for an uncertain future is a hard task, but preparing for it by adapting to the uncertainties and risk uncovered is well within our abilities.]]></description>
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		<item>
		<title>Valuation as a strategic tool</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/04/24/valuation-as-a-strategic-tool/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/04/24/valuation-as-a-strategic-tool/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 10:17:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation services]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1009</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Valuation is something usually done only when selling or buying a company. However it is a versatile tool in assessing issues as risk and strategies both in operations and finance.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Fish farming</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/21/fish-farming/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/21/fish-farming/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 20:52:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aquaculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biomass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Feed conversion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fish farming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Growth rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Optimal temperature]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=559</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When we in 2002 were asked to look into the risk of Cod fish farming, we had to start with the basics; how do cod feed and grow at different locations and what is the mortality at the same locations.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>The Probability of Gain and Loss</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/11/the-probability-of-gain-and-loss/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/02/11/the-probability-of-gain-and-loss/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Feb 2009 17:22:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mergers & Acquisition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Acquisition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[M&A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mergers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/test/?p=311</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every item written into a firm’s profit and loss account and its balance sheet is a stochastic variable with a probability distribution derived from probability distributions for each factor of production.]]></description>
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