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	<title>Strategy @ Risk &#187; Other topics</title>
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  <link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com</link>
  <url>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/s-r-3.ico</url>
  <title>Strategy @ Risk</title>
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		<item>
		<title>The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/22/the-uncertainty-in-forecasting-airport-pax/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/22/the-uncertainty-in-forecasting-airport-pax/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Apr 2010 21:13:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Operations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airport modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pax]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1676</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The uncertainty about the future yearly Pax is quite high. With this as the backcloth for airport planning the stochastic nature of Pax forecasts has to be taken into account when investment decisions are to be made.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Case of Enterprise Risk Management</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Apr 2010 09:39:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budgeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COSO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ERM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S@R]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1637</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Traditionally, when estimating costs, project value, equity value or budgeting, one number is generated – a single point estimate.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/19/the-case-of-enterprise-risk-management/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A short presentation of S@R</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/04/03/a-short-presentation-of-sr/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Apr 2010 15:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet and P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate risk analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macro risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[P&L simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecast modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simulation modeling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations - but...]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/02/08/wacc-and-infrastructure-regulation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2010/02/08/wacc-and-infrastructure-regulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 16:18:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance sheet simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Capital cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cost of equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fan Charts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Infrastructure Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WACC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1525</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year. ]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Credit Risk</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/12/29/credit-risk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/12/29/credit-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Dec 2009 16:38:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Risk]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1513</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A number of other statistical methods have also been used to predict future company failure and credit risk.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Perception of Risk</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/11/02/perception-of-risk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/11/02/perception-of-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:27:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Search Volume Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1424</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is there less interest in risk and strategy in the Vest than in the East ?]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/11/02/perception-of-risk/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Where do you go from risk mapping?</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/10/19/where-do-you-go-from-risk-mapping/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/10/19/where-do-you-go-from-risk-mapping/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 10:48:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hazard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk breakdown structur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk events list]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk level matrix]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk mapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk register]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1388</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You can't control what you can't measure]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/10/19/where-do-you-go-from-risk-mapping/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Public Works Projects</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2009 06:57:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monte Carlo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public works projects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scenario analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy consultants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The solution to all this is to establish a proper simulation model for every large project and do the Monte Carlo simulation necessary to establish the total cost distribution, and then calculate the risks involved.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/09/03/public-works-projects/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Selecting Strategy</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/22/selecting-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/22/selecting-strategy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 09:55:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Modelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategic choices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decision tree]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dominance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lower partial moment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk avers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk-seeking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ruin aversion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic dominance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Upside potential ratio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Utility]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1155</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When there is no uncertainty the maximum return criterion can be used to rank strategies. With uncertainty we have to look for the strategy that maximizes the firms expected utility.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/22/selecting-strategy/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Two letters</title>
		<link>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/06/two-letters/</link>
		<comments>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/06/two-letters/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2009 07:57:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>S@R</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Other topics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Copula formula]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial risk consultants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stochastic simulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VaR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/?p=1120</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you should reconsider, we will be happy to meet with you to explain the nature of our work. To us nothing is better than a demanding customer.]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.strategy-at-risk.com/2009/07/06/two-letters/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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