Corporate risk analysis
Stochastic Balance Simulation
We know that forecasts based on average values are on average wrong. In addition deterministic models will miss the important dimension of uncertainty – that gives both the different risks facing the company and the opportunities they produce.
2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | ContinuedThe Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax
The uncertainty about the future yearly Pax is quite high. With this as the backcloth for airport planning the stochastic nature of Pax forecasts has to be taken into account when investment decisions are to be made.
2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | ContinuedA short presentation of S@R
Most companies have some sort of model describing the company’s operations – but…
2010 © | S@R | 1 comment | Continued
The Value of Information
Enterprise risk management only has value to those who know that the future is uncertain
2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | ContinuedWACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation
Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.
2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | ContinuedConcession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting
Concessions are an important source of revenue for all airports. An airport simulation model should therefore be able to give a good forecast of revenue from different types of concessions.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
When in doubt, develop the situation
Planning for an uncertain future is a hard task, but preparing for it by adapting to the uncertainties and risk uncovered is well within our abilities.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
Top Ten Concerns of CFO’s – May 2009
A poll of more than 1200 senior finance executives by CFO Europe together with Tilburg and Duke University ranks the ten top external and internal concerns.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
The fallacies of Scenario analysis
Scenario analysis is often used in company valuation – with high, low and most likely scenarios to estimate the value range and expected value – but do they give correct answers?
2009 © | S@R | 3 comments | Continued
Airport Simulation
The basic determinant of an airport’s economics is the passenger forecast. It is the basis for estimation of aircraft movements, investment in terminal buildings, traffic charges, tax free sales etc.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
Budgeting
Budgeting involves personal judgments about future values of large number of variables like; sales, prices, wages, down- time, error rates, exchange rates etc. – variables that describes the nature of the business.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
Corporate Risk Analysis
Strategy @Risk has developed a radical and new approach to the way risk is assessed and measured when considering current and future investment.
2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
