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Balance sheet simulation

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WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation

Calculating Wacc for a company for a number of years into the future is not a trivial task. Wacc is no longer a single value, but a time series with values varying from year to year.

2010 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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The Probability of Bankruptcy

A good metric should have a low probability of rejecting a true hypothesis of bankruptcy (false positive) and a high probability of rejecting a false hypothesis of bankruptcy (false negative).

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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Predicting Bankruptcy

The Z-score is not intended to predict when a firm will file a formal declaration of bankruptcy in a district court. It is instead a measure of how closely a firm resembles other firms that have filed for bankruptcy.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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The Risk of Bankruptcy

There are several models in use for predicting bankruptcy and we have in our balance simulation model implemented two; Altman’s Z-score model and the risk index Z developed by Hannan and Hanweck.

2009 © | S@R | 0 comments | Continued
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The weighted average cost of capital

The weighted cost of capital (WACC) and the return on invested capital (ROIC) are the most important elements in company valuation, and the basis for most strategy and performance evaluation methods.

2008 © | S@R | 2 comments | Continued